The FHQ+ Electoral College Projection (10/30/24)
1 month ago
Friday, April 30, 2010
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary
Mike Huckabee 30% [30%] (33%)
Sarah Palin 30% [27%] (27%)
Mitt Romney 27% [25%] (25%)
Undecided 14% [17%] (14%)
Among Men
Mitt Romney 31% [30%] (24%)
Sarah Palin 29% [25%] (27%)
Mike Huckabee 27% [29%] (35%)
Undecided 13% [15%] (14%)
Among Women
Mike Huckabee 33% [31%] (30%)
Sarah Palin 30% [30%] (29%)
Mitt Romney 22% [20%] (27%)
Undecided 15% [19%] (15%)
Among Conservatives
Sarah Palin 31% [25%] (30%)
Mike Huckabee 29% [33%] (34%)
Mitt Romney 27% [24%] (24%)
Undecided 13% [18%] (13%)
Among Moderates
Mike Huckabee 32% [23%] (32%)
Mitt Romney 28% [30%] (30%)
Sarah Palin 23% [32%] (18%)
Undecided 17% [15%] (20%)
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 8-11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 72% [74%] Conservative; 26% [23%] Moderate; 3% [3%] Liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in parentheses.
Mike Huckabee 30% [30%] (33%)
Sarah Palin 30% [27%] (27%)
Mitt Romney 27% [25%] (25%)
Undecided 14% [17%] (14%)
Among Men
Mitt Romney 31% [30%] (24%)
Sarah Palin 29% [25%] (27%)
Mike Huckabee 27% [29%] (35%)
Undecided 13% [15%] (14%)
Among Women
Mike Huckabee 33% [31%] (30%)
Sarah Palin 30% [30%] (29%)
Mitt Romney 22% [20%] (27%)
Undecided 15% [19%] (15%)
Among Conservatives
Sarah Palin 31% [25%] (30%)
Mike Huckabee 29% [33%] (34%)
Mitt Romney 27% [24%] (24%)
Undecided 13% [18%] (13%)
Among Moderates
Mike Huckabee 32% [23%] (32%)
Mitt Romney 28% [30%] (30%)
Sarah Palin 23% [32%] (18%)
Undecided 17% [15%] (20%)
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 8-11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 72% [74%] Conservative; 26% [23%] Moderate; 3% [3%] Liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in parentheses.
Monday, April 12, 2010
Saturday, April 10, 2010
Wilson Research SRLC 2010 Straw Poll Results
If the primary election for president were held today, for whom would you vote? Please check the box by the candidate of your choice.
•Mitt Romney 24% (439 votes)
•Ron Paul 24% (438)
•Sarah Palin 18% (330)
•Newt Gingrich 18% (321)
•Mike Huckabee 4% (80)
•Mike Pence 3% (58)
•Tim Pawlenty 3% (54)
•Rick Santorum 2% (41)
•Gary Johnson 0% (3)
Who would be your second choice in the Republican Primary Election for president?
•Newt Gingrich 19% (339 votes)
•Sarah Palin 18% (332)
•Mitt Romney 13% (242)
•Mike Huckabee 10% (178)
•Mike Pence 8% (141)
•Rick Santorum 7% (125)
•Tim Pawlenty 6% (114)
•Gary Johnson 6% (104)
•Ron Paul 5% (98)
There were a total of 1,806 votes cast. A detailed analysis of the straw poll results will be available on the Wilson Research Strategies blog .
If the primary election for president were held today, for whom would you vote? Please check the box by the candidate of your choice.
•Mitt Romney 24% (439 votes)
•Ron Paul 24% (438)
•Sarah Palin 18% (330)
•Newt Gingrich 18% (321)
•Mike Huckabee 4% (80)
•Mike Pence 3% (58)
•Tim Pawlenty 3% (54)
•Rick Santorum 2% (41)
•Gary Johnson 0% (3)
Who would be your second choice in the Republican Primary Election for president?
•Newt Gingrich 19% (339 votes)
•Sarah Palin 18% (332)
•Mitt Romney 13% (242)
•Mike Huckabee 10% (178)
•Mike Pence 8% (141)
•Rick Santorum 7% (125)
•Tim Pawlenty 6% (114)
•Gary Johnson 6% (104)
•Ron Paul 5% (98)
There were a total of 1,806 votes cast. A detailed analysis of the straw poll results will be available on the Wilson Research Strategies blog .
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
GOP12: PPP polling 2012 so far
To recap, here's the state-by-state polling PPP has done, thus far.
Alabama: Huck 41%, Palin 27%, Romney 20%
Colorado: Romney 44%, Palin 25%, Huck 17%
Florida: Romney 52% Huck 21% Palin 18%
Georgia: 1) Huck 2) Romney 3) Palin
Missouri: Huck 32% Palin 28% Romney 22%
New Mexico: Romney 33% Palin 32% Huck 18%
North Carolina: Huck 30% Palin 27% Romney 25%
Ohio: Romney 32% Huck 28% Palin 26%
Texas: Romney 32% Huck 29% Palin 23%
Wisconsin: Romney 32% Palin 27% Huck 23%
The news isn't all bad for Palin, though. A February Magellan Strategies survey had her winning Kentucky.
Alabama: Huck 41%, Palin 27%, Romney 20%
Colorado: Romney 44%, Palin 25%, Huck 17%
Florida: Romney 52% Huck 21% Palin 18%
Georgia: 1) Huck 2) Romney 3) Palin
Missouri: Huck 32% Palin 28% Romney 22%
New Mexico: Romney 33% Palin 32% Huck 18%
North Carolina: Huck 30% Palin 27% Romney 25%
Ohio: Romney 32% Huck 28% Palin 26%
Texas: Romney 32% Huck 29% Palin 23%
Wisconsin: Romney 32% Palin 27% Huck 23%
The news isn't all bad for Palin, though. A February Magellan Strategies survey had her winning Kentucky.
Thursday, March 25, 2010
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Huckabee Drops in new NC 2012 Poll
Today Public Policy Polling released results (pdf) from a hypothetical 2012 primary in North Carolina.
1. Mike Huckabee 30%
2. Sarah Palin 27%
3. Mitt Romney 25%
This is the second PPP poll on NC in a month.
On February 18. Public Policy Polling released a survey (pdf) showing Mike Huckabee winning a hypothetical 2012 primary with 33% of the vote to Sarah Palin's 27% and Mitt Romney's 25%; so very little has changed.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_316.pdf
1. Mike Huckabee 30%
2. Sarah Palin 27%
3. Mitt Romney 25%
This is the second PPP poll on NC in a month.
On February 18. Public Policy Polling released a survey (pdf) showing Mike Huckabee winning a hypothetical 2012 primary with 33% of the vote to Sarah Palin's 27% and Mitt Romney's 25%; so very little has changed.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_316.pdf
Palin:Nonstop D.C. Nonsense: Drilling Down on Energy Doublespeak
Yesterday at 1:04pm
It may be tempting to feel worn down as we take one step after another towards the “fundamental transformation of America” that Barack Obama promised. But we mustn’t let our energy be sapped, even in the face of the mind-boggling leap the Obama Administration just took that fundamentally shifts us towards more reliance on foreign energy sources. Hang on to your hat and take a look at this.
Months ago I discussed Washington’s decision to allow U.S. dollars to flow to Brazil for that nation’s off-shore oil drilling projects, while D.C.’s attitude towards America’s own offshore developments appeared less-than-enthusiastic. We gained hope though when our President promised in his State of the Union address that he’d be “making tough decisions about opening new offshore areas for oil and gas development.” Most of us optimistically assumed that “making tough decisions” meant allowing at least some offshore drilling. In fact, on national television that night I said that the President deserved kudos for acknowledging our need for domestic energy development in his speech.
Turns out that was just more drilling doublespeak: America has been snookered again.
While everyone has been focused on Obamacare, the Obama administration took advantage of America’s distraction and quietly said that it’s planning to place a hold on offshore drilling on the outer continental shelf until at least 2012.
At a time when our country is desperate for job growth, deficit reduction, and energy independence, it’s simply astonishing that the administration refuses to allow additional offshore drilling, even while supporting energy development in foreign countries.
According to a study by the American Energy Alliance, opening the OCS to drilling could create as many as 1.2 million new jobs and add hundreds of billions of dollars annually to the US economy. Those are real American jobs – and great American opportunities – that can’t be outsourced. Offshore drilling would provide billions in revenue for our states, allowing them to reduce their budget deficits without raising taxes. It would help reduce our trade deficit, which spikes with each rise in the price of oil because we’re so reliant on foreign sources of energy. And because we have some of the best environmental standards in the world, we should be drilling for our own oil instead of buying it from countries with less stringent standards.
When the Obama Administration first delayed offshore leasing on the OCS to allow for “an extended public comment period,” the comments it received reflected what all the polling tells us – that Americans overwhelmingly support offshore drilling. (Curiously, those pro-drilling findings weren’t heavily publicized by the Administration and the press.) Americans understand that a true “all-of-the-above” approach to energy independence must include responsible development of our conventional resources. Even as we develop alternative energy sources, we’ll still rely on oil and gas for decades to come. If we don’t drill for it here, then we’ll just have to keep buying it from others.
Using executive power to lock up energy resources ignores the will of the American people who want to develop those resources and know that we can do so in an environmentally responsible manner.
Ignoring the American people is never good politics, but whether it’s energy independence or health care, our leadership in Washington is tone deaf to the commonsense solutions that Americans want.
Watching this potentially earth-shattering energy policy decision made quietly while health care transformation distracts us, it makes one wonder what else our politicians are up to. An old trick is to intentionally consume attention with a “crisis” so as to sap the public’s energy, and then to conveniently push through rash measures that would receive great scrutiny at any another time. Remember Rahm Emanuel’s Saul Alinsky-style of political operation: “You never want a serious crisis to go to waste.”
America, we must resolve to stay engaged in what our politicians are doing. Don’t get tired and give up. All political power is inherent in the people. America can only be transformed into something unrecognizable if we get so tired that we give up our political power and close our eyes to what is going on. Find the energy to stand for what you know is right, including supporting leaders who don’t engage in energy policy doublespeak.
- Sarah Palin
It may be tempting to feel worn down as we take one step after another towards the “fundamental transformation of America” that Barack Obama promised. But we mustn’t let our energy be sapped, even in the face of the mind-boggling leap the Obama Administration just took that fundamentally shifts us towards more reliance on foreign energy sources. Hang on to your hat and take a look at this.
Months ago I discussed Washington’s decision to allow U.S. dollars to flow to Brazil for that nation’s off-shore oil drilling projects, while D.C.’s attitude towards America’s own offshore developments appeared less-than-enthusiastic. We gained hope though when our President promised in his State of the Union address that he’d be “making tough decisions about opening new offshore areas for oil and gas development.” Most of us optimistically assumed that “making tough decisions” meant allowing at least some offshore drilling. In fact, on national television that night I said that the President deserved kudos for acknowledging our need for domestic energy development in his speech.
Turns out that was just more drilling doublespeak: America has been snookered again.
While everyone has been focused on Obamacare, the Obama administration took advantage of America’s distraction and quietly said that it’s planning to place a hold on offshore drilling on the outer continental shelf until at least 2012.
At a time when our country is desperate for job growth, deficit reduction, and energy independence, it’s simply astonishing that the administration refuses to allow additional offshore drilling, even while supporting energy development in foreign countries.
According to a study by the American Energy Alliance, opening the OCS to drilling could create as many as 1.2 million new jobs and add hundreds of billions of dollars annually to the US economy. Those are real American jobs – and great American opportunities – that can’t be outsourced. Offshore drilling would provide billions in revenue for our states, allowing them to reduce their budget deficits without raising taxes. It would help reduce our trade deficit, which spikes with each rise in the price of oil because we’re so reliant on foreign sources of energy. And because we have some of the best environmental standards in the world, we should be drilling for our own oil instead of buying it from countries with less stringent standards.
When the Obama Administration first delayed offshore leasing on the OCS to allow for “an extended public comment period,” the comments it received reflected what all the polling tells us – that Americans overwhelmingly support offshore drilling. (Curiously, those pro-drilling findings weren’t heavily publicized by the Administration and the press.) Americans understand that a true “all-of-the-above” approach to energy independence must include responsible development of our conventional resources. Even as we develop alternative energy sources, we’ll still rely on oil and gas for decades to come. If we don’t drill for it here, then we’ll just have to keep buying it from others.
Using executive power to lock up energy resources ignores the will of the American people who want to develop those resources and know that we can do so in an environmentally responsible manner.
Ignoring the American people is never good politics, but whether it’s energy independence or health care, our leadership in Washington is tone deaf to the commonsense solutions that Americans want.
Watching this potentially earth-shattering energy policy decision made quietly while health care transformation distracts us, it makes one wonder what else our politicians are up to. An old trick is to intentionally consume attention with a “crisis” so as to sap the public’s energy, and then to conveniently push through rash measures that would receive great scrutiny at any another time. Remember Rahm Emanuel’s Saul Alinsky-style of political operation: “You never want a serious crisis to go to waste.”
America, we must resolve to stay engaged in what our politicians are doing. Don’t get tired and give up. All political power is inherent in the people. America can only be transformed into something unrecognizable if we get so tired that we give up our political power and close our eyes to what is going on. Find the energy to stand for what you know is right, including supporting leaders who don’t engage in energy policy doublespeak.
- Sarah Palin
Friday, March 12, 2010
Why Palin Should Pick Judd Gregg as her V.P
Sarah Palin and Sen. Judd Gregg (NH) would be the perfect combo.
1. NH is a Swing State
2. Gain needed D.C Exp
3. gain the 10% moderate swing voters.
4. adds overall Exp to the ticket
5. he does not have star power, he’s very much like sean parnell. makes it a balanced ticket.
6. not known for gaffes
7. Overall nice guy.
8. High NH approval rating
Finally,(most important) After Palin wins Iowa she could double down on momentum by announcing Judd Gregg in a NH rally as her V.P right before the NH primary!
Zomg! Romney would crash and burn! Game Over!
1. NH is a Swing State
2. Gain needed D.C Exp
3. gain the 10% moderate swing voters.
4. adds overall Exp to the ticket
5. he does not have star power, he’s very much like sean parnell. makes it a balanced ticket.
6. not known for gaffes
7. Overall nice guy.
8. High NH approval rating
Finally,(most important) After Palin wins Iowa she could double down on momentum by announcing Judd Gregg in a NH rally as her V.P right before the NH primary!
Zomg! Romney would crash and burn! Game Over!
Monday, March 8, 2010
Saturday, March 6, 2010
Palin has small lead in Arizona
Republican Rankings.com
Arizona Republicans
Survey of 800 likely Republican voters
Conservative (68%)/Moderate (27%) Liberal(5%)
margin of error 1-3%
Q1: If the 2012 republican primary was held today who would you vote for?
Total
Sarah Palin 28%
Mitt Romney 27%
Mike Huckabee 13%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Ron Paul 6%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Not Sure/Undecided: 16%
Conservatives
Sarah Palin:30%
Mitt Romney:23%
Mike Huckabee 14%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Ron Paul 7%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Not Sure 15%
Moderates
Mitt Romney 32%
Sarah Palin 18%
Mike Huckabee 17%
Ron Paul 8%
Newt Gingrich 5%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Not Sure 17%
Liberals
Ron Paul 49%
Mitt Romney 14%
Mike Huckabee 11%
Sarah Palin 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Tim Pawlenty 1%
Not Sure 16%
Q2: Who do you support in the 2010 Arizona senate primary?
Mccain: 52%
Hayworth:43%
Not sure/Undecided: 5%
Arizona Republicans
Survey of 800 likely Republican voters
Conservative (68%)/Moderate (27%) Liberal(5%)
margin of error 1-3%
Q1: If the 2012 republican primary was held today who would you vote for?
Total
Sarah Palin 28%
Mitt Romney 27%
Mike Huckabee 13%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Ron Paul 6%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Not Sure/Undecided: 16%
Conservatives
Sarah Palin:30%
Mitt Romney:23%
Mike Huckabee 14%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Ron Paul 7%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Not Sure 15%
Moderates
Mitt Romney 32%
Sarah Palin 18%
Mike Huckabee 17%
Ron Paul 8%
Newt Gingrich 5%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Not Sure 17%
Liberals
Ron Paul 49%
Mitt Romney 14%
Mike Huckabee 11%
Sarah Palin 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Tim Pawlenty 1%
Not Sure 16%
Q2: Who do you support in the 2010 Arizona senate primary?
Mccain: 52%
Hayworth:43%
Not sure/Undecided: 5%
Friday, March 5, 2010
Romney leads in California
Magellan Strategies polls a hypothetical 2012 primary in California among likely GOP voters (pdf here).
1. Mitt Romney 31%
2. Sarah Palin 18%
3. Mike Huckabee 13%
4. Newt Gingrich 12%
5. Ron Paul 8%
6. Tim Pawlenty 3%
H/T GOP 12
1. Mitt Romney 31%
2. Sarah Palin 18%
3. Mike Huckabee 13%
4. Newt Gingrich 12%
5. Ron Paul 8%
6. Tim Pawlenty 3%
H/T GOP 12
Wednesday, March 3, 2010
New Palin Book On the Way
The Associated Press reports:
Sarah Palin is ready for the next chapter of her publishing career.
Publisher HarperCollins announced Wednesday that the former Alaska governor and Republican vice presidential candidate is working on a "celebration of American virtues and strengths." The book is currently untitled and no release date has been set.
Palin's memoir, "Going Rogue," released last fall by HarperCollins, has sold more than 2 million copies. Her new work will "include selections from classic and contemporary readings that have inspired her, as well as portraits of some of the extraordinary men and women she admires and who embody her love of country, faith, and family," the publisher's statement reads.
"She will also draw from her personal experience to amplify these timely — and timeless— themes."
In an e-mail Wednesday, HarperCollins publisher Jonathan Burnham said that "a number of ideas and concepts" were explored with Palin. "This is the idea which appealed the most to her," he said, adding that she is currently "gathering ideas and identifying favorite texts and examples."
Sarah Palin is ready for the next chapter of her publishing career.
Publisher HarperCollins announced Wednesday that the former Alaska governor and Republican vice presidential candidate is working on a "celebration of American virtues and strengths." The book is currently untitled and no release date has been set.
Palin's memoir, "Going Rogue," released last fall by HarperCollins, has sold more than 2 million copies. Her new work will "include selections from classic and contemporary readings that have inspired her, as well as portraits of some of the extraordinary men and women she admires and who embody her love of country, faith, and family," the publisher's statement reads.
"She will also draw from her personal experience to amplify these timely — and timeless— themes."
In an e-mail Wednesday, HarperCollins publisher Jonathan Burnham said that "a number of ideas and concepts" were explored with Palin. "This is the idea which appealed the most to her," he said, adding that she is currently "gathering ideas and identifying favorite texts and examples."
Friday, February 26, 2010
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
NEW POLL backs up Republican Rankings poll taken FEB 3rd
Magellan Strategies (R) reports:
Palin 28%
Huckabee 24%
Romney 16%
Gingrich 12%
Ron Paul 4%
Pawlenty 2%
Undecided 14%
Rand Paul 44%
Trey Greyson 23%
Undecided 33%
http://www.magellanstrategies.com/documents/MagellanKentuckyUSSenate-TeaPartyGOPPrimarySurveyRelease022410.pdf
Republican Ranking.com
Q1: If the 2012 republican primary was held today who would you vote for?
Sarah Palin 24.89%
Mike Huckabee 21.09%
Mitt Romney 18.44%
Newt Gingrich 10.01%
Ron Paul 5.24%
Tim Pawlenty 2.03%
Not Sure/Undecided: 19.09%
Q3: Who do you support in the 2010 Kentucky senate primary?
Rand Paul: 48%
Trey Grayson: 19%
Bill Johnson: 12%
Not sure/Undecided: 20%
Palin 28%
Huckabee 24%
Romney 16%
Gingrich 12%
Ron Paul 4%
Pawlenty 2%
Undecided 14%
Rand Paul 44%
Trey Greyson 23%
Undecided 33%
http://www.magellanstrategies.com/documents/MagellanKentuckyUSSenate-TeaPartyGOPPrimarySurveyRelease022410.pdf
Republican Ranking.com
Q1: If the 2012 republican primary was held today who would you vote for?
Sarah Palin 24.89%
Mike Huckabee 21.09%
Mitt Romney 18.44%
Newt Gingrich 10.01%
Ron Paul 5.24%
Tim Pawlenty 2.03%
Not Sure/Undecided: 19.09%
Q3: Who do you support in the 2010 Kentucky senate primary?
Rand Paul: 48%
Trey Grayson: 19%
Bill Johnson: 12%
Not sure/Undecided: 20%
Saturday, February 13, 2010
Romney's Plan
Romney is going to make his big push soon, and sarah is going to have to deflect him.
Romney's Plan
1.Cpac speech
2.win the (stacked) Cpac straw poll
3.Start media book tour. march 1st.
Sarah should plan something to counter Romney's push.
1. Have a rally with Mccain or Rand Paul at the Same time as Romney's Cpac speech.
2. Host her first Fox news Special at the SAME TIME as Cpac.
3. endorse Marco rubio via Facebook post during Cpac.
4. Media Blitz
Romney's Speech is at 1:30 on Thursday. She should give interviews and upstage Romney's big speech day with an endorsment for Marco Rubio.
Palin Should then Plan Something before Glenn Beck's Speech on Sat.Have her first Fox Special on Sat. before or After Beck's Speech.
SAT: 5:30
Straw Poll Results and CPAC 2010: Where Do We Stand?
Marriott Ballroom
Tony Fabrizio, Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates
David A. Keene, American Conservative Union
6:00
Glenn Beck
Marriott Ballroom
Introduction: David Keene, American Conservative Union
Then Maybe She Should Have a rally With Rand Paul or Mccain on sunday
bottom Line: Because She is not going to Cpac, She will need to do something to counter Romney.
Romney's Plan
1.Cpac speech
2.win the (stacked) Cpac straw poll
3.Start media book tour. march 1st.
Sarah should plan something to counter Romney's push.
1. Have a rally with Mccain or Rand Paul at the Same time as Romney's Cpac speech.
2. Host her first Fox news Special at the SAME TIME as Cpac.
3. endorse Marco rubio via Facebook post during Cpac.
4. Media Blitz
Romney's Speech is at 1:30 on Thursday. She should give interviews and upstage Romney's big speech day with an endorsment for Marco Rubio.
Palin Should then Plan Something before Glenn Beck's Speech on Sat.Have her first Fox Special on Sat. before or After Beck's Speech.
SAT: 5:30
Straw Poll Results and CPAC 2010: Where Do We Stand?
Marriott Ballroom
Tony Fabrizio, Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates
David A. Keene, American Conservative Union
6:00
Glenn Beck
Marriott Ballroom
Introduction: David Keene, American Conservative Union
Then Maybe She Should Have a rally With Rand Paul or Mccain on sunday
bottom Line: Because She is not going to Cpac, She will need to do something to counter Romney.
Thursday, February 11, 2010
Palin will need to do a 5 things to improve qualification numbers.
1.Traval To places like Isreal,Iraq,GB,France (etc)
2.2nd book on policy.
3.Use her Fox gig to promote conservative ideas.
4. Rematch interview with Katie Cougar
5.Do well in the 2012 debates.<– Most important.
2.2nd book on policy.
3.Use her Fox gig to promote conservative ideas.
4. Rematch interview with Katie Cougar
5.Do well in the 2012 debates.<– Most important.
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Monday, February 8, 2010
Wednesday, February 3, 2010
Palin leads in 2012 Kentucky Primary Poll
Republican Rankings.com
Kentucky Republicans
Survey of 800 likely Republican voters
Conservative (62%)/Libertarian (21%)/Moderate (17%)
Q1: If the 2012 republican primary was held today who would you vote for?
Sarah Palin 24.89%
Mike Huckabee 21.09%
Mitt Romney 18.44%
Newt Gingrich 10.01%
Ron Paul 5.24%
Tim Pawlenty 2.03%
Not Sure/Undecided: 19.09%
Q2: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Sarah Palin?
Total
Favorable: 79%
Unfavorable: 14%
Not sure/Undecided:7%
Among Moderate Republicans
Favorable: 27%
Unfavorable: 58%
Not sure/Undecided: 15%
Among Conservative Republicans
Favorable: 86%
Unfavorable: 8%
Not sure/Undecided: 6%
Among Libertarian Republicans
Favorable: 69%
Unfavorable: 20%
Not sure/Undecided: 11%
Q3: Who do you support in the 2010 Kentucky senate primary?
Rand Paul: 48%
Trey Grayson: 19%
Bill Johnson: 12%
Not sure/Undecided: 20%
Kentucky Republicans
Survey of 800 likely Republican voters
Conservative (62%)/Libertarian (21%)/Moderate (17%)
Q1: If the 2012 republican primary was held today who would you vote for?
Sarah Palin 24.89%
Mike Huckabee 21.09%
Mitt Romney 18.44%
Newt Gingrich 10.01%
Ron Paul 5.24%
Tim Pawlenty 2.03%
Not Sure/Undecided: 19.09%
Q2: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Sarah Palin?
Total
Favorable: 79%
Unfavorable: 14%
Not sure/Undecided:7%
Among Moderate Republicans
Favorable: 27%
Unfavorable: 58%
Not sure/Undecided: 15%
Among Conservative Republicans
Favorable: 86%
Unfavorable: 8%
Not sure/Undecided: 6%
Among Libertarian Republicans
Favorable: 69%
Unfavorable: 20%
Not sure/Undecided: 11%
Q3: Who do you support in the 2010 Kentucky senate primary?
Rand Paul: 48%
Trey Grayson: 19%
Bill Johnson: 12%
Not sure/Undecided: 20%
Republican PACs gear up for 2012
The battle for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination quietly began last year — maybe not for the candidates, but for their political groups.
Sarah Palin’s committee paid more than $50,000 for policy advice in the second half of 2009, during which Tim Pawlenty’s and Mike Huckabee’s spent nearly $97,000 combined on fundraising lists. Newt Gingrich’s dropped $585,000 to jet him across the country. Mitt Romney’s doled out $17,500 to New Hampshire pols and causes.
The stated mission of the committees was to boost Republican candidates, rebuild the party and advance conservative policies. But an examination of recently filed finance reports covering the second half of 2009 shows that the groups also are serving to boost their leaders’ viability as White House hopefuls and build political operations that could launch their runs.
Palin’s political action committee paid $21,000 to Kim Daniels, a Maryland lawyer who is an expert on health care “rights of conscience,” for domestic policy advice, and an additional $30,000 to the lobbying and consulting firm of Randy Scheunemann for foreign policy advice. The two helped the former Alaska governor craft a paid speech in Hong Kong in September, which was interpreted as an effort to develop a more polished public policy profile.
In the final six months of last year, the PACs founded by Pawlenty and Huckabee — a governor and a former governor who have been criticized for their lack of national fundraising network — paid $52,000 and $45,000, respectively, to rent or buy fundraising lists.
Meanwhile, Gingrich’s committee spent hundreds of thousands on charter flights to get the former House speaker to speaking engagements across the country.
And the network of PACs led by Romney, the former Massachusetts governor whose presidential ambitions hinge largely on his ability to win New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary, in 2009 contributed $17,500 to candidates and committees in the Granite State.
Jason Torchinsky, a Republican campaign finance lawyer, said that almost anyone thinking seriously about running for president in 2012 should have already started some form of political nonprofit.
“Over the last 20 years, this has become the pattern for people thinking about running for president,” said Torchinsky. “It certainly makes things easier if they decide to become a candidate later this year or early next year, because they will have built a donor list and relationships with local officials and party activists, as well as consultants.”
Between July 1 and the beginning of this year, according to reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Romney’s PAC (Free and Strong America) brought in more than $1.6 million, Palin’s (Sarah PAC) raised nearly $1.4 million, Huckabee’s (Huck PAC) raised $519,000 and Pawlenty’s (Freedom First) raked in nearly $1.3 million, though it’s only been up and running for three months.
But according to a report filed with the Internal Revenue Service, Gingrich’s group, American Solutions for Winning the Future, lapped them all, raising $6.4 million in the second half of the year.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0210/32495.html#ixzz0eXWZJy4J
Sarah Palin’s committee paid more than $50,000 for policy advice in the second half of 2009, during which Tim Pawlenty’s and Mike Huckabee’s spent nearly $97,000 combined on fundraising lists. Newt Gingrich’s dropped $585,000 to jet him across the country. Mitt Romney’s doled out $17,500 to New Hampshire pols and causes.
The stated mission of the committees was to boost Republican candidates, rebuild the party and advance conservative policies. But an examination of recently filed finance reports covering the second half of 2009 shows that the groups also are serving to boost their leaders’ viability as White House hopefuls and build political operations that could launch their runs.
Palin’s political action committee paid $21,000 to Kim Daniels, a Maryland lawyer who is an expert on health care “rights of conscience,” for domestic policy advice, and an additional $30,000 to the lobbying and consulting firm of Randy Scheunemann for foreign policy advice. The two helped the former Alaska governor craft a paid speech in Hong Kong in September, which was interpreted as an effort to develop a more polished public policy profile.
In the final six months of last year, the PACs founded by Pawlenty and Huckabee — a governor and a former governor who have been criticized for their lack of national fundraising network — paid $52,000 and $45,000, respectively, to rent or buy fundraising lists.
Meanwhile, Gingrich’s committee spent hundreds of thousands on charter flights to get the former House speaker to speaking engagements across the country.
And the network of PACs led by Romney, the former Massachusetts governor whose presidential ambitions hinge largely on his ability to win New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary, in 2009 contributed $17,500 to candidates and committees in the Granite State.
Jason Torchinsky, a Republican campaign finance lawyer, said that almost anyone thinking seriously about running for president in 2012 should have already started some form of political nonprofit.
“Over the last 20 years, this has become the pattern for people thinking about running for president,” said Torchinsky. “It certainly makes things easier if they decide to become a candidate later this year or early next year, because they will have built a donor list and relationships with local officials and party activists, as well as consultants.”
Between July 1 and the beginning of this year, according to reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Romney’s PAC (Free and Strong America) brought in more than $1.6 million, Palin’s (Sarah PAC) raised nearly $1.4 million, Huckabee’s (Huck PAC) raised $519,000 and Pawlenty’s (Freedom First) raked in nearly $1.3 million, though it’s only been up and running for three months.
But according to a report filed with the Internal Revenue Service, Gingrich’s group, American Solutions for Winning the Future, lapped them all, raising $6.4 million in the second half of the year.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0210/32495.html#ixzz0eXWZJy4J
Tuesday, February 2, 2010
Palin to keynote Center for Arizona Policy event
Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, now a Fox News commentator, will headline a Center for Arizona Policy event in Glendale in April
Palin will be the keynote speaker at a CAP dinner April 24 at the Glendale Renaissance Hotel & Spa, according to CAP President Cathi Herrod. The socially conservative group led the 2008 state ballot measure banning same-sex marriages.
Palin was U.S. Sen. John McCain’s running mate in the 2008 presidential race. She is very popular among conservatives, but is one of the more polarizing figures in American politics
She also is slated to be in Arizona in March to campaign with McCain as he runs for a fifth term in the U.S. Senate.
http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2010/02/01/daily15.html
Palin will be the keynote speaker at a CAP dinner April 24 at the Glendale Renaissance Hotel & Spa, according to CAP President Cathi Herrod. The socially conservative group led the 2008 state ballot measure banning same-sex marriages.
Palin was U.S. Sen. John McCain’s running mate in the 2008 presidential race. She is very popular among conservatives, but is one of the more polarizing figures in American politics
She also is slated to be in Arizona in March to campaign with McCain as he runs for a fifth term in the U.S. Senate.
http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2010/02/01/daily15.html
Daily Kos Poll
1. Sarah Palin 16%
2. Mitt Romney 11%
3. Dick Cheney 10%
4. Newt Gingrich 7%
4. Mike Huckabee 7%
6. Tim Pawlenty 3%
7. Ron Paul 2%
7. John Thune 2%
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/us_2012_pres_primary_kos_12031.php
2. Mitt Romney 11%
3. Dick Cheney 10%
4. Newt Gingrich 7%
4. Mike Huckabee 7%
6. Tim Pawlenty 3%
7. Ron Paul 2%
7. John Thune 2%
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/us_2012_pres_primary_kos_12031.php
GOP12: Will Palin fans revolt against Whitman?
With Mike Murphy's sudden role in the Meg Whitman campaign becoming very public, conservative blogger John Hawkins is echoing a sentiment I've been seeing percolate on Sarah Palin message boards.
Hawkins (ea):
So when Meg Whitman, who's running for governor, chose to hire Mike Murphy, what does it say?
It says that she holds Sarah Palin's many fans in the Republican party in absolute contempt. She thinks so little of them and feels their support is so unwanted for her campaign, that she's going to hire a guy like Mike Murphy, who made more of a name for himself trashing Sarah Palin than he did working for the McCain campaign.
Well, here's what I say: Any candidate who hires Mike Murphy, Steve Schmidt, or Nicolle Wallace -- the McCain staffers who trashed Palin -- that candidate is dead to me.
Trouble for Whitman? Probably not. This is California we're talking about. In fact, if Whitman makes it past the primary, she might welcome words like these.
Already, Whitman seems to have taken steps to distance herself from Palin (e.g. avoiding mentioning her name altogether in her recent book, and adroitly pivoting from a probing question on Morning Joe), while Democrats are beginning to try to tie the two together.
Carla Marinucci, in December 2009:
California's 700,000-member progressive Courage Campaign has Palin as its marquee name in a fundraising letter that's out this week.... That's right, the organization's new fundraising push lambastes GOP candidate and former eBay CEO Meg Whitman as -- ouch! -- "California's Sarah Palin.''
Hawkins (ea):
So when Meg Whitman, who's running for governor, chose to hire Mike Murphy, what does it say?
It says that she holds Sarah Palin's many fans in the Republican party in absolute contempt. She thinks so little of them and feels their support is so unwanted for her campaign, that she's going to hire a guy like Mike Murphy, who made more of a name for himself trashing Sarah Palin than he did working for the McCain campaign.
Well, here's what I say: Any candidate who hires Mike Murphy, Steve Schmidt, or Nicolle Wallace -- the McCain staffers who trashed Palin -- that candidate is dead to me.
Trouble for Whitman? Probably not. This is California we're talking about. In fact, if Whitman makes it past the primary, she might welcome words like these.
Already, Whitman seems to have taken steps to distance herself from Palin (e.g. avoiding mentioning her name altogether in her recent book, and adroitly pivoting from a probing question on Morning Joe), while Democrats are beginning to try to tie the two together.
Carla Marinucci, in December 2009:
California's 700,000-member progressive Courage Campaign has Palin as its marquee name in a fundraising letter that's out this week.... That's right, the organization's new fundraising push lambastes GOP candidate and former eBay CEO Meg Whitman as -- ouch! -- "California's Sarah Palin.''
Monday, February 1, 2010
Palin SLAMS Rambo Dead Fish Rahm Emanuel
The newly-released mind-boggling, record-smashing $3,400,000,000,000 federal budget invites plenty of opportunity to debate the merits of incurring more and more debt that will drown the next generation of Americans. Never has it been possible to spend your way out of debt. So... let the debate begin.
Included in the debate process will be opportunities for our president to deliberate internally the wisdom of this debt explosion, along with other economic, military and social issues facing our country. Our president will discuss these important issues with Democrat leaders and those within his inner circle. I would ask the president to show decency in this process by eliminating one member of that inner circle, Mr. Rahm Emanuel, and not allow Rahm’s continued indecent tactics to cloud efforts. Yes, Rahm is known for his caustic, crude references about those with whom he disagrees, but his recent tirade against participants in a strategy session was such a strong slap in many American faces that our president is doing himself a disservice by seeming to condone Rahm’s recent sick and offensive tactic.
The Obama Administration’s Chief of Staff scolded participants, calling them, “F---ing retarded,” according to several participants, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.
Just as we’d be appalled if any public figure of Rahm’s stature ever used the “N-word” or other such inappropriate language, Rahm’s slur on all God’s children with cognitive and developmental disabilities – and the people who love them – is unacceptable, and it’s heartbreaking.
A patriot in North Andover, Massachusetts, notified me of Rahm’s “retarded” slam. I join this gentleman, who is the father of a beautiful child born with Down Syndrome, in asking why the Special Olympics, National Down Syndrome Society and other groups condemning Rahm’s degrading scolding have been completely ignored by the White House. No comment from his boss, the president?
As my friend in North Andover says, “This isn’t about politics; it’s about decency. I am not speaking as a political figure but as a parent and as an everyday American wanting my child to grow up in a country free from mindless prejudice and discrimination, free from gratuitous insults of people who are ostensibly smart enough to know better... Have you no sense of decency, sir?”
Mr. President, you can do better, and our country deserves better.
- Sarah Palin
Included in the debate process will be opportunities for our president to deliberate internally the wisdom of this debt explosion, along with other economic, military and social issues facing our country. Our president will discuss these important issues with Democrat leaders and those within his inner circle. I would ask the president to show decency in this process by eliminating one member of that inner circle, Mr. Rahm Emanuel, and not allow Rahm’s continued indecent tactics to cloud efforts. Yes, Rahm is known for his caustic, crude references about those with whom he disagrees, but his recent tirade against participants in a strategy session was such a strong slap in many American faces that our president is doing himself a disservice by seeming to condone Rahm’s recent sick and offensive tactic.
The Obama Administration’s Chief of Staff scolded participants, calling them, “F---ing retarded,” according to several participants, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.
Just as we’d be appalled if any public figure of Rahm’s stature ever used the “N-word” or other such inappropriate language, Rahm’s slur on all God’s children with cognitive and developmental disabilities – and the people who love them – is unacceptable, and it’s heartbreaking.
A patriot in North Andover, Massachusetts, notified me of Rahm’s “retarded” slam. I join this gentleman, who is the father of a beautiful child born with Down Syndrome, in asking why the Special Olympics, National Down Syndrome Society and other groups condemning Rahm’s degrading scolding have been completely ignored by the White House. No comment from his boss, the president?
As my friend in North Andover says, “This isn’t about politics; it’s about decency. I am not speaking as a political figure but as a parent and as an everyday American wanting my child to grow up in a country free from mindless prejudice and discrimination, free from gratuitous insults of people who are ostensibly smart enough to know better... Have you no sense of decency, sir?”
Mr. President, you can do better, and our country deserves better.
- Sarah Palin
Why Tampa Should Host The 2012 Convention.
"Associated Press has reported that Phoenix and Salt Lake City will join Tampa as possible locations"
OK. first. Why the heck would we want to host the convention in a SOLID red state like Utah!? Does the RNC want to nominate Mitt Romney in Mormon land or something?
second. (in case your wondering)I may be a secular conservative, but I got nothing against Mormons.
third, Arizona would be ok, but not as good as Tampa.
forth, a RNC source says this about Tampa:
"I think Tampa is right there," said Joe Gruters, chairman of the Sarasota Republican Party. "And I think Florida over the last two presidential cycles has proven how important it is and Florida may once again become the swing state and that's why I think at the end of the day they'll choose Florida."
DUH! FL should be the host state every year imo :P
More information at
http://www2.tbo.com/content/2010/feb/01/tampa-among-4-finalists-2012-republican-convention/
OK. first. Why the heck would we want to host the convention in a SOLID red state like Utah!? Does the RNC want to nominate Mitt Romney in Mormon land or something?
second. (in case your wondering)I may be a secular conservative, but I got nothing against Mormons.
third, Arizona would be ok, but not as good as Tampa.
forth, a RNC source says this about Tampa:
"I think Tampa is right there," said Joe Gruters, chairman of the Sarasota Republican Party. "And I think Florida over the last two presidential cycles has proven how important it is and Florida may once again become the swing state and that's why I think at the end of the day they'll choose Florida."
DUH! FL should be the host state every year imo :P
More information at
http://www2.tbo.com/content/2010/feb/01/tampa-among-4-finalists-2012-republican-convention/
Sarah Palin endorses Rand Paul!!
National political icon and conservative leader Sarah Palin has endorsed Dr. Rand Paul in his bid for United States Senate from Kentucky. The Paul campaign has received a generous donation from Governor Palin’s PAC.
Sarah Palin has clearly seen that Rand Paul supports smaller, constitutional government and is taking the fight to the career politicians and will shake up the tax and spend crowd in Washington D.C.
“Governor Palin is providing tremendous leadership as the Tea Party movement and constitutional conservatives strive to take our country back,” Rand said.
“Sarah Palin is a giant in American politics. I am proud to receive her support.”
“I’m trying to go to Washington to fight to lower taxes and spending, and for term limits and balanced budgets. I will go to protect the lives of our unborn children,” Rand said.
“I will strive to capitalize on the support of Governor Palin and so many others to go to Washington and fight for liberty and limited government and put an end to the current climate of insider politics, runaway deficits and out-of-control growth of government.”
Sarah Palin’s endorsement is another major success in a long list of achievements for the Paul campaign. Dr. Paul was recently identified as one of the five most important candidates to support by Dick Armey, Freedom Works and the National Tea Party Movement. Dr. Paul has also received endorsements from Concerned Women for America, Gun Owners of America, Steve Forbes and RedState.com,
Recent independent polls show Rand holding a double digit lead in the Republican primary and large leads over either Democratic opponent. Rand Paul has raised over $1.8 million dollars, including over $650,000 in the fourth quarter of 2009.
http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/02/sarah-palin-endorses/
Sarah Palin has clearly seen that Rand Paul supports smaller, constitutional government and is taking the fight to the career politicians and will shake up the tax and spend crowd in Washington D.C.
“Governor Palin is providing tremendous leadership as the Tea Party movement and constitutional conservatives strive to take our country back,” Rand said.
“Sarah Palin is a giant in American politics. I am proud to receive her support.”
“I’m trying to go to Washington to fight to lower taxes and spending, and for term limits and balanced budgets. I will go to protect the lives of our unborn children,” Rand said.
“I will strive to capitalize on the support of Governor Palin and so many others to go to Washington and fight for liberty and limited government and put an end to the current climate of insider politics, runaway deficits and out-of-control growth of government.”
Sarah Palin’s endorsement is another major success in a long list of achievements for the Paul campaign. Dr. Paul was recently identified as one of the five most important candidates to support by Dick Armey, Freedom Works and the National Tea Party Movement. Dr. Paul has also received endorsements from Concerned Women for America, Gun Owners of America, Steve Forbes and RedState.com,
Recent independent polls show Rand holding a double digit lead in the Republican primary and large leads over either Democratic opponent. Rand Paul has raised over $1.8 million dollars, including over $650,000 in the fourth quarter of 2009.
http://www.randpaul2010.com/2010/02/sarah-palin-endorses/
Saturday, January 30, 2010
Friday, January 29, 2010
OUCH! Begich with only a 35% Approval Rating
Public Policy Polling
1/27-28/10; 710 likely voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
Alaska
Favorable / Unfavorable
Sarah Palin: 47 / 45
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 37 / 56
Gov. Parnell: 58 / 19
Sen. Begich: 35 / 51
1/27-28/10; 710 likely voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
Alaska
Favorable / Unfavorable
Sarah Palin: 47 / 45
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 37 / 56
Gov. Parnell: 58 / 19
Sen. Begich: 35 / 51
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Palin Should Endorse Rand Paul.
David Adams, Paul's campaign manager, said he would announce the endorsement “as soon as we get it.”
“I would categorize that one as 'worth waiting for',” he said. “I'm waiting as patiently as I can.”
http://www.louisvillemojo.com/blogs/Louisville_blogs/84435/Sarah_Palin_to_Endorse_Rand_Paul_for_US_Senate
“I would categorize that one as 'worth waiting for',” he said. “I'm waiting as patiently as I can.”
http://www.louisvillemojo.com/blogs/Louisville_blogs/84435/Sarah_Palin_to_Endorse_Rand_Paul_for_US_Senate
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
PALIN LEADS IN NEW 2012 poll.
Palin:22.2%
Romney: 19.4%
Newt: 12%
Huckabee 11%
http://newsmax.com/InsideCover/palin-poll-zogby-romney/2010/01/27/id/348220
Romney: 19.4%
Newt: 12%
Huckabee 11%
http://newsmax.com/InsideCover/palin-poll-zogby-romney/2010/01/27/id/348220
HuckPAC endorses candidate who was recently pro-choice
Tom Tolbert, a former HuckPAC coordinator who became disenchanted with Mike Huckabee and resigned after the Maurice Clemmons commutation, notes that HuckPAC recently endorsed John Parke for State Representative in Arkansas' District 31 over David Sanders.
Now here's where the controversy comes in -- Sanders is apparently pro-life, while Parke was only recently converted to the pro-life cause (Parke claims it was not an "election year conversion" but something that's been "evolving" over the course of his life), causing Tolbert to wonder whether Parke made the switch out of political expediency, and whether Huckabee is excusing the same philosophical evolution of which he accused Mitt Romney in the 2008 campaign..
Further, Sanders wrote a fairly incendiary column in December 2009, questioning connections in Mike Huckabee's commutation of a man named Eugene Fields (you can read the particulars of the case here).
But the salient portion of the story is that Sanders is apparently pro-life; Parke is a recent convert, and HuckPAC chose to endorse the recent convert. Tolbert suggests a grudge might be in play, and for those who've followed Huck and grudges (see his battle with Pat Toomey), it's certainly possible, although definitely speculative.
Executive Director of HuckPAC, Sarah Huckabee, passed along the following note to Tolbert:
“Our endorsement of John Parke has nothing to do with political grudges, but has everything to do with helping elect the best candidate in the race. I have personally spoken with John several times about this issue and I believe his heart and his belief that every life is sacred is sincere. If we had any question about where John stood on the life issue he would not have received an endorsement from Huck PAC.”
H/T Gop 12
Now here's where the controversy comes in -- Sanders is apparently pro-life, while Parke was only recently converted to the pro-life cause (Parke claims it was not an "election year conversion" but something that's been "evolving" over the course of his life), causing Tolbert to wonder whether Parke made the switch out of political expediency, and whether Huckabee is excusing the same philosophical evolution of which he accused Mitt Romney in the 2008 campaign..
Further, Sanders wrote a fairly incendiary column in December 2009, questioning connections in Mike Huckabee's commutation of a man named Eugene Fields (you can read the particulars of the case here).
But the salient portion of the story is that Sanders is apparently pro-life; Parke is a recent convert, and HuckPAC chose to endorse the recent convert. Tolbert suggests a grudge might be in play, and for those who've followed Huck and grudges (see his battle with Pat Toomey), it's certainly possible, although definitely speculative.
Executive Director of HuckPAC, Sarah Huckabee, passed along the following note to Tolbert:
“Our endorsement of John Parke has nothing to do with political grudges, but has everything to do with helping elect the best candidate in the race. I have personally spoken with John several times about this issue and I believe his heart and his belief that every life is sacred is sincere. If we had any question about where John stood on the life issue he would not have received an endorsement from Huck PAC.”
H/T Gop 12
Monday, January 25, 2010
(Frountloading HQ) PPP: 2012 Presidential Trial Heats (Jan. '10): Obama Trails (Huckabee) for the First Time
Public Policy Polling [pdf] today released their monthly look at the 2012 presidential playing field. Here's a quick look a the toplines
Huckabee: 45%
Obama: 44%
Undecided: 11%
Obama: 49%
Palin: 41%
Undecided: 9%
Obama: 44%
Petraeus: 34%
Undecided: 21%
Obama: 44%
Romney: 42%
Undecided: 15%
Margin of Error: +/- 2.8%
Sample: 1151 registered voters (nationwide)
Conducted: January 18-19, 2010
NOTES:
1) The president is under 50% against all four prospective GOP presidential aspirants in this month's poll for the first time since PPP started these examinations last March. How is January going for the president again?
2) The sample voted for McCain in 2008 at the same rate as the actual results (46%), but Obama has dropped off in this sample versus the actual vote total in November 2008 (53% to 47%). Yes, the sample still favors the Obama slightly, but that makes for a much more competitive balance between the president and his Republican counterparts.
H/T: Frountloading HQ
http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2010/01/ppp-2012-presidential-trial-heats-jan.html
Huckabee: 45%
Obama: 44%
Undecided: 11%
Obama: 49%
Palin: 41%
Undecided: 9%
Obama: 44%
Petraeus: 34%
Undecided: 21%
Obama: 44%
Romney: 42%
Undecided: 15%
Margin of Error: +/- 2.8%
Sample: 1151 registered voters (nationwide)
Conducted: January 18-19, 2010
NOTES:
1) The president is under 50% against all four prospective GOP presidential aspirants in this month's poll for the first time since PPP started these examinations last March. How is January going for the president again?
2) The sample voted for McCain in 2008 at the same rate as the actual results (46%), but Obama has dropped off in this sample versus the actual vote total in November 2008 (53% to 47%). Yes, the sample still favors the Obama slightly, but that makes for a much more competitive balance between the president and his Republican counterparts.
H/T: Frountloading HQ
http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2010/01/ppp-2012-presidential-trial-heats-jan.html
Obama Billboard to Come Down, Company Wants Palin
NEW YORK (AP) — How long does it take to dismantle a billboard?
Close to three weeks, apparently.
The outerwear company that mounted a giant billboard in Times Square showing President Barack Obama in one of its jackets, prompting a call of protest from the White House, says it’s finally removing the offending sign on Wednesday — and it hopes Sarah Palin will agree to take Obama’s place.
Weatherproof hasn’t heard from Palin yet on whether she’ll serve as a model — this time, they’re asking permission — but that’s not even all the news on the Times Square billboard brouhaha front.
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2010/01/25/us/AP-US-Presidential-Billboard.html?_r=2
Close to three weeks, apparently.
The outerwear company that mounted a giant billboard in Times Square showing President Barack Obama in one of its jackets, prompting a call of protest from the White House, says it’s finally removing the offending sign on Wednesday — and it hopes Sarah Palin will agree to take Obama’s place.
Weatherproof hasn’t heard from Palin yet on whether she’ll serve as a model — this time, they’re asking permission — but that’s not even all the news on the Times Square billboard brouhaha front.
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2010/01/25/us/AP-US-Presidential-Billboard.html?_r=2
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Palin Needs Mccain's Endorsement to win in 2012.
why?
well how bad would it look if her former running mate did not even endorse her?
pretty bad.
the media meme would be this:
"Even her former running mate does not think Palin can be Potus"
Mccain is Palin's Bridge to the middle like Palin is Mccain's Bridge to the Right.
Bottom line: Palin helping Mccain in his relection bid is not only smart, but it's necessary
well how bad would it look if her former running mate did not even endorse her?
pretty bad.
the media meme would be this:
"Even her former running mate does not think Palin can be Potus"
Mccain is Palin's Bridge to the middle like Palin is Mccain's Bridge to the Right.
Bottom line: Palin helping Mccain in his relection bid is not only smart, but it's necessary
Thursday, January 21, 2010
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
BIG RANKINGS: JANUARY
Electability points
Romeny Palin Huckabee Pawlenty
Speechs 0 1 1 0
Interviews 2 0 1 1
Debates 1 1 1 2
Charisma 0 2 1 -1
Fans/Crowds 0 2 0 0
Conersvative Values 0 2 1 0
Fundraising 2 2 0 0
Experience 5 3 8 6
Total 10 13 13 8
Electability points + voter demographics
South West Midwest Northeast
Romeny (10) -5 +8 +1 +10
Palin (13) +4 +6 +4 -6
Huckabee (13) +10 -9 +3 -8
Pawlenty (8) -2 +1 +5 +2
Name recognition points
Palin +9
Huckabee +8
Romney +8
Pawlenty +1
Baggage (bad points)
Palin -2
Romney -2
Huckabee -2
Palwnety 0
Overall Minimum vote %
South West Midwest Northeast
Palin 24% 26% 24% 18%
Romeny 13% 24% 17% 26%
Huckabee 29% 10% 22% 11%
Pawlenty 7% 10% 14% 11%
Romeny Palin Huckabee Pawlenty
Speechs 0 1 1 0
Interviews 2 0 1 1
Debates 1 1 1 2
Charisma 0 2 1 -1
Fans/Crowds 0 2 0 0
Conersvative Values 0 2 1 0
Fundraising 2 2 0 0
Experience 5 3 8 6
Total 10 13 13 8
Electability points + voter demographics
South West Midwest Northeast
Romeny (10) -5 +8 +1 +10
Palin (13) +4 +6 +4 -6
Huckabee (13) +10 -9 +3 -8
Pawlenty (8) -2 +1 +5 +2
Name recognition points
Palin +9
Huckabee +8
Romney +8
Pawlenty +1
Baggage (bad points)
Palin -2
Romney -2
Huckabee -2
Palwnety 0
Overall Minimum vote %
South West Midwest Northeast
Palin 24% 26% 24% 18%
Romeny 13% 24% 17% 26%
Huckabee 29% 10% 22% 11%
Pawlenty 7% 10% 14% 11%
Monday, January 18, 2010
New CBS poll shows Palin with 44% of the Republican Primary Vote
"44 percent of Republicans do want her to run, that’s … a fairly sizable chunk of primary voters, no? Virtually every primary poll taken thus far shows her, Huck, and Mitt bunched up in the low 20s, which means in all likelihood that the threshold for victory will be exceedingly low if the 2012 primaries have as many candidates running as the 2008 primaries did."
H/T HotAir.com
H/T HotAir.com
Sunday, January 17, 2010
The Best Cabinet
President of the United States: Sarah Palin
Vice President of the United States: David Petraeus
Department of State: Liz Cheney
Department of the Treasury: Mitt Romney
Department of Defense: Robert Gates
Department of Justice: Chris Cristie
Department of the Interior: Bobby Jindal
Department of Agriculture: Charles Grassly
Department of Commerce: Mike Huckabee
Department of Labor: Tim Pawlenty
Department of Health and Human Services: Rand Paul
Department of Housing and Urban Development: Eric Cantor
Department of Transportation: Bob Mcdonnell
Department of Energy: Don Young
Department of Education: Jeb Bush
Department of Veterans Affairs: Scott Brown
Department of Homeland Security: Rudy Giuliani
White House Chief of Staff: Newt Gingrich
Environmental Protection Agency: Lisa Murkouski
Office of Management & Budget: Jim DeMint
United States Trade Representative: Michelle Bachman
United States Ambassador to the United Nations: John Bolton
Council of Economic Advisers: Ron Paul
Vice President of the United States: David Petraeus
Department of State: Liz Cheney
Department of the Treasury: Mitt Romney
Department of Defense: Robert Gates
Department of Justice: Chris Cristie
Department of the Interior: Bobby Jindal
Department of Agriculture: Charles Grassly
Department of Commerce: Mike Huckabee
Department of Labor: Tim Pawlenty
Department of Health and Human Services: Rand Paul
Department of Housing and Urban Development: Eric Cantor
Department of Transportation: Bob Mcdonnell
Department of Energy: Don Young
Department of Education: Jeb Bush
Department of Veterans Affairs: Scott Brown
Department of Homeland Security: Rudy Giuliani
White House Chief of Staff: Newt Gingrich
Environmental Protection Agency: Lisa Murkouski
Office of Management & Budget: Jim DeMint
United States Trade Representative: Michelle Bachman
United States Ambassador to the United Nations: John Bolton
Council of Economic Advisers: Ron Paul
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Palin's Attack Plan
What should Mitt Romney expect from Sarah Palin in 2012?
Romney is the "next in line" if your an "insider", but the reality is Sarah Palin is only thing that stands in front of Mitt Romney.
Here are the two main lines of attack expected from Sarah Palin in 2012.
1."Just one of the good old boys"
Sarah Palin in her history has always effectively projected herself as the grassroots candidate, and the one that’s in-touch with the conservative base. If you have lived in Alaska like I have you would know what I am talking about. In 2006 She projected the GOP establishment as out of touch and more of the same. The fact that she is young, good looking, and a women. made this message VERY easy to craft. Unfortunately for Romney he represents everything that is the establishment candidate, and you can expect Palin to exploit this with "Beltway", "Elitist", "out of Touch", "Typical politician", "Washington D.C", and of course "just one of the good old boys"
2."RINO"
Because Romney ran for Gov. in MA... He had to throw the Pro-life vote pretty much under the bus. This along with his support of a partially subsidized healthcare plan (Romenycare) has effectually destroyed any possible support from many conservatives, and will likely not win any states in the south. expect Palin to project herself as the only pro-life candidate.
Overall I think Palin can defeat Romney if she sticks to those two lines of attack, and presents herself as the one with a forward looking message of energy independence, economic freedom, and strong national defense. Let her supporters to do the negative ads or “dirty work” ads against Romney. The one thing that hurt Palin the most in 2008 (besides the Couric interview) was Schmitt’s decision to make Palin the attack dog. (Bill Ayers) . Voters don’t like to see negative nonsense and muck. why? Because people are depressed with job losses, and want to hear a positive, forward, message. NOT muckraking, and the last thing Sarah wants to be tagged with is the infamous “Beat the Bitch” narrative.
Romney is the "next in line" if your an "insider", but the reality is Sarah Palin is only thing that stands in front of Mitt Romney.
Here are the two main lines of attack expected from Sarah Palin in 2012.
1."Just one of the good old boys"
Sarah Palin in her history has always effectively projected herself as the grassroots candidate, and the one that’s in-touch with the conservative base. If you have lived in Alaska like I have you would know what I am talking about. In 2006 She projected the GOP establishment as out of touch and more of the same. The fact that she is young, good looking, and a women. made this message VERY easy to craft. Unfortunately for Romney he represents everything that is the establishment candidate, and you can expect Palin to exploit this with "Beltway", "Elitist", "out of Touch", "Typical politician", "Washington D.C", and of course "just one of the good old boys"
2."RINO"
Because Romney ran for Gov. in MA... He had to throw the Pro-life vote pretty much under the bus. This along with his support of a partially subsidized healthcare plan (Romenycare) has effectually destroyed any possible support from many conservatives, and will likely not win any states in the south. expect Palin to project herself as the only pro-life candidate.
Overall I think Palin can defeat Romney if she sticks to those two lines of attack, and presents herself as the one with a forward looking message of energy independence, economic freedom, and strong national defense. Let her supporters to do the negative ads or “dirty work” ads against Romney. The one thing that hurt Palin the most in 2008 (besides the Couric interview) was Schmitt’s decision to make Palin the attack dog. (Bill Ayers) . Voters don’t like to see negative nonsense and muck. why? Because people are depressed with job losses, and want to hear a positive, forward, message. NOT muckraking, and the last thing Sarah wants to be tagged with is the infamous “Beat the Bitch” narrative.
Friday, January 15, 2010
Romney's People.
Sarah is gunna have to keep a close eye on this MA race. why? because this is the Romney playbook in action. she should take note of all of the Scott Brown ads, and get a good idea of what to expect from Mitt Romney in 2012. even Scott Brown's campaign logo looks like it's from Mitt Romney's pac.
Sunday, January 10, 2010
New Rankings: Palin's major (SRLC) speech shakes up southern rankings.
This is a HUGE upcoming event for Palin, and will likely put her as the frontrunner in all the southern states (besides Arkansas of course)
Thursday, January 7, 2010
The Palin Express
The Southern Republican Leadership Conference, taking place this April in New Orleans, just announced that Sarah Palin would be among the speakers.
Sunday, January 3, 2010
My thoughts on why I project Palin to win FL
My Projection!
Palin 40%
Romney 37%
Huckabee 15%
Other: 8%
1. Palin will endorse Rubio at some point. (Romney not going to endorse anyone)
Rasmussen poll shows tie: Crist 43%, Rubio 43%
When Palin endorses Rubio he will win the Primary by a landslide. In my opnion The main reason Palin has not endorsed Rubio (yet) is she does not want Crist to flip parties and run as a Democrat. (Democrats have a weak/somewhat unknown/liberal candidate for this race)
Romney is playing it smart by not endorsing anyone in the GOP races this year. why? because he does not want to risk losing his moderate (Esablishment Base) by picking a conservative like Rubio or Perry, and he does not want to risk losing to Sarah Palin when he endorses the moderate like Crist or KBH.
Romney is going the obama way: vote present.
The only problem is he risks losing a high profile endoresmet from future (biger then palin rockstar) Marco Rubio in the 2012 FL Primary.
2.Huckabee has already endorsed Rubio, But Rubio will endorse the one who gives him the most political bounce (Sarahcuda).
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